DBTHE DAY BEFORE_
MarketNext session's call · Monday, November 16, 2026

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58%

chance the S&P 500 closes higher on Monday

HIGHER 58%Other outcomes 42%

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THE BRIEF

Day summary

Monday, November 16, 2026BRIEF NO. 80

Tech Stocks Rise as S&P 500 Gains 0.4% on Monday, November 16, 2026

  • ›We put the odds of a green S&P 500 close at 56% on Monday, November 16, 2026 ahead of enterprise software deals and retailer earnings.
  • ›We expect the S&P 500 to gain 0.38% on Monday, November 16, 2026 as enterprise software demand offsets pre-market retail earnings.
  • ›We think technology stocks lead a positive session on Monday, November 16, 2026, lifting the S&P 500 up about 0.38% and the Nasdaq 100 up 0.54%.
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THE CALLS

10 predicted trades

For Monday, November 16, 2026

Odds are the model's chance the call is right. Expected move is the predicted change from today's close to the next session's close.

#TickerCallOddsExpected moveExecute
01IBM▲ UP68%+4.1%
02MSFT▲ UP66%+5.4%
03LLY▲ UP66%+5.8%
04GOOGL▲ UP65%+6.5%
05JPM▲ UP64%+3.7%
06AMZN▲ UP63%+6.5%
07AVGO▲ UP62%+9.5%
08WMT▲ UP65%+3.8%
09TSN▼ DOWN65%-4.4%
10PLUG▼ DOWN66%-12.0%

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Key calendar

Earnings and events

Earnings

BIDUMon, Nov 16 · Pre-market (before open)Baidu Inc.
PDDMon, Nov 16 · Pre-market (before open)PDD Holdings Inc.
TSNMon, Nov 16 · Pre-market (before open)Tyson Foods Inc.
XPEVMon, Nov 16 · Pre-market (before open)XPeng Inc.
ACMMon, Nov 16 · After closeAECOM
NVDATue, Nov 17 · After closeNvidia Corporation
DISTue, Nov 17 · Pre-market (before open)The Walt Disney Company
HDTue, Nov 17 · Pre-market (before open)The Home Depot Inc.
TMETue, Nov 17 · Pre-market (before open)Tencent Music Entertainment Group
LOWWed, Nov 18 · Pre-market (before open)Lowe's Companies Inc.
TGTWed, Nov 18 · Pre-market (before open)Target Corporation
PANWWed, Nov 18 · After closePalo Alto Networks Inc.
TJXWed, Nov 18 · Pre-market (before open)The TJX Companies Inc.
VIPSWed, Nov 18 · time unspecifiedVipshop Holdings Limited
WMTThu, Nov 19 · Pre-market (before open)Walmart Inc.
BABAThu, Nov 19 · Pre-market (before open)Alibaba Group Holding Limited
NTESThu, Nov 19 · Pre-market (before open)NetEase Inc.

Key events

Mon, Nov 16 Pre-market (before open)Baidu (BIDU) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 18.20 RMB
Mon, Nov 16 Pre-market (before open)PDD Holdings (PDD) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 20.40 RMB
Mon, Nov 16 8:30 AM ETEmpire State Manufacturing Indexest 0.5
Mon, Nov 16 Pre-market (before open)Tyson Foods (TSN) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 0.71 USD
Mon, Nov 16 Pre-market (before open)XPeng (XPEV) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS -1.85 RMB
Mon, Nov 16 After closeAECOM (ACM) reports earnings
Tue, Nov 17 8:30 AM ETU.S. Retail Salesest +0.3% m/m
Tue, Nov 17 After closeNvidia (NVDA) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 0.74 USD
Tue, Nov 17 Pre-market (before open)The Home Depot (HD) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 3.65 USD
Tue, Nov 17 Pre-market (before open)The Walt Disney Company (DIS) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 1.10 USD
Tue, Nov 17 Pre-market (before open)Tencent Music Entertainment (TME) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 1.25 RMB
Wed, Nov 18 Pre-market (before open)Target (TGT) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 2.30 USD
Wed, Nov 18 Pre-market (before open)Lowe's Companies (LOW) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 2.96 USD
Wed, Nov 18 After closePalo Alto Networks Inc. (PANW) reports earnings
Wed, Nov 18 Pre-market (before open)The TJX Companies (TJX) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 1.09 USD
Wed, Nov 18 10:30 AM ETEIA Crude Oil Inventoriesest +1.2M barrels
Wed, Nov 18 time unspecifiedVipshop Holdings (VIPS) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 3.20 RMB
Thu, Nov 19 Pre-market (before open)Walmart (WMT) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 0.53 USD
Thu, Nov 19 8:30 AM ETU.S. Initial Jobless Claimsest 220K
Thu, Nov 19 Pre-market (before open)Alibaba Group (BABA) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 15.10 RMB
Thu, Nov 19 Pre-market (before open)NetEase (NTES) reports earningsest Adjusted EPS 11.80 RMB
Fri, Nov 20 10:00 AM ETExisting Home Salesest 3.95M annualized

THE RECEIPTS

Settled markets

Every call graded after the close

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AFTER HOURS

The complete brief.

Every call with its reasoning and conviction, and the full calendar read — including what the free brief leaves out.

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